This is chapter 20 in the story of my attempt to determine if it is better to open 1♠ or 1NT with 15 to 17 HCP and a five card ♠ suit.
The journey started with this post:
Later On
Here is the twentieth hand I generated:
|
North♠KQ986♥Q3♦K72 ♣T73 |
|
West♠AJT75 ♥85♦AQ9 ♣A86 |
|
East♠42♥AKT92♦JT ♣KQJ5 |
|
South♠3♥J764♦86543 ♣942 |
|
Dealer is West and everyone vulnerable.
Double Dummy:
5NT can make by E/W
4♠ can make by W
4
♥ can make by E/W
5♣ can make by E/W
3♠ can make by E
3
♦ can make by E/W
Analysis
If West opens up 1NT I think East will transfer to
♥ and bid 3NT. This is where they will play.
What happens if West opens 1♠?
East will bid 2
♥ and the partnership will still get to 3NT.
If West opens 1NT they are likely to get a ♠ lead from North. But either way Declarer has 11 tricks no matter what North leads.
So I think this one is a draw. Really doesn't matter what West opens.
To see the table where all the hands are listed click
HERE!
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